Agricultural Economics

Agricultural Economics

Determining the efficiency of saffron export target markets according to Iran's policy approach

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors
1 PhD student, Agricultural Economics Department, Sari Faculty of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources
2 Associate Professor, Agricultural Economics Department, Agricultural Engineering Faculty, Sari Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University
3 Assistant Professor, Member of the Faculty of Agricultural Research Center of Mazandaran Province
4 Assistant Professor, Agricultural Economics Department, Agricultural Engineering Faculty, Sari Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University
Abstract
Despite the widespread use of random attraction models to determine the efficiency of export target markets, it seems that this model is not suitable for countries that suffer from sanctions and government interventions with non-economic goals. The purpose of the current research is to modify the aforementioned model for economies like Iran, where internal and external interventions cause many restrictions in exports. In this study, the data of 39 target markets in the period of 2001-2020 have been used to determine the efficiency of Iran's saffron export. For this purpose, the modified random boundary gravity model has been used to measure efficiency. Also, in this study, the restrictions governing the foreign policy of a country in the field of trade were considered. In the proposed model, the variables of crisis, friendly political relations and economic sanctions, which were entered as imaginary numbers in most of the previous studies, were investigated in this study using fuzzy logic technique. The results show that Iran's export to any country is not 100% efficient. During the long-term period, the highest efficiency of Iranian saffron has been in the markets of Spain, Qatar, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates, and the lowest is related to the countries of Vietnam, Oman, Pakistan, and Afghanistan. Also, the results show that there is a significant potential for the export of Iranian saffron. The biggest export potential and Iran's export gap is related to the United Arab Emirates.
Keywords

Subjects


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