Optimal Water Allocation of Chahnimeh to Sistan Agricultural Sector by Stochastic Dynamic Programming

Document Type : Research Paper

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Abstract

In this study, regarding to special condition of Sistan region, Stochastic Helmand River flow in border of Iran and direct relation between farmer’s income and cost with water flow of Chahnimeh reservoir, to allocate water stochastic dynamic programming and markov chain were used. For this reason first data series were gathered for 20 (1999-2009) years. Then a good model was made to show the region condition. Finally, regarding to different states of system in farming season and their probabilities, water allocate optimally between Sistan, Zahak and Miankangi and cropping area were determined. Results show that using stochastic dynamic programming reservoir ‘water was optimally managed, water demand was determined in each area and cropping area was estimated. Therefore, this model is suggested to Chahnimeh Reservoir management.

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