Agricultural Economics

Agricultural Economics

Estimating the trade potential of edible fruits in the EaEu group of countries based on the gravity model

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors
hamed Gader zade 1
Afsaneh Rahemi Ghojeh 2
1 Associate Professor, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Kurdistan
2 Master's student, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Kurdistan
10.22034/iaes.2024.2015543.2032
Abstract
Foreign trade is one of the most important components of economic development, the source of providing foreign exchange revenue for investing in new technology and to increase the production capacity of any country's economy. In the meantime, considering goals such as self-sufficiency, food security and the possibility of high exchange rate need special attention to the business in it. A prospective study on the analysis of factors affecting the trade of edible fruits by HS codes as described HS0802 (other fresh or dried nuts except coconuts, Brazil nuts and cashews), HS0806 (fresh or dried grapes), HS0808 (apples and pears, etc.) New in the trading partner countries in the EaEu group, which include the countries of Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Russia. The data reviewed by the panel and for the period 2003-21 based on the gravity model, which is estimated by fixed effects and random effects methods. The analysis of information related to trading partner countries showed that, Iran's largest trading partner in commodity group HS0802 are Russia, Kyrgyzstan, and Kazakhstan, and in the case of commodity group HS0806 and HS0808, Russia and Kazakhstan are countries. The results showed that, the GDP variable follow the positive relationship for all the three product groups and foreign direct investment has positive association for HS0802 and HS0808 groups but it in the case of HS0806 is negative and again for the population variable are negative in the case of HS0802, HS0806, HS0808and the effects of trade agreements for HS0802 and HS0808 groups. In the case of the agreements, the relationship is positive for HS0808 and negative for HS0806.
Keywords
agricultural products
commercial potential
EaEu

Subjects

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Agricultural Economics
Volume 18, Issue 3 - Serial Number 3
Autumn 2024
Pages 153-170